Video recording: The accurate estimation of alternative outcomes by the parties is an important driver of a successful mediation.  When parties make unrealistic predictions using flawed analytical methods, they can get stuck in impasse or reach suboptimal agreements out of sheer exhaustion.   Mediators need analytical tools that help them identify flawed analyses and engage with parties in objectively assessing potential outcomes of their dispute.   The goal of this workshop is to provide such tools by fostering an understanding of basic probability principles and their application to the mediation process.